Not to rain on anyones parade....

I have seen this question asked a lot of Obama supporters, so, now with the wind at your backs, and filling Hillary's sails, do you ardent Hillary supporters have an answer?

How do YOU and YOUR candidates win the Obama supporters, when she wins the Nomination?

Or do you think you can win with out them, without someone like me?  

Unfortunately, a lot of us MIGHT have been the wrong people to insult with statements like this:

"The events of past 6 weeks have exposed Obama as a political lightweight without a clear strategy to accept the gift of presidency that is waiting for Democrats in November. If his single-issue platform isn't cause for concern then consider his troubling ties to known terrorists (Ayers), bigots (J. Wright), and charlatans (Al Sharpton)."

Think about all the crappy stuff said about Senator Clinton, then TRY to think about how I feel, when I see that statement of pure unadultered BS....

Jerome, Todd, et all, you KNOW that is complete dribble?

The BIG DOG may have said someone like me doesn't need a President, but, do you REALLY want all us highly educated and fairly upper income Obama supporters pissed off, our wallets closed, our ethusiasm drained?

I'm pretty sure, THE SUPERS want me engaged, cause most of them here in WA state hit me up for money every cycle?

So, tell me, How are you going to win me over?

By telling me my Candidate hangs out with Criminals, Bigots, Terrorists and Charlatons?

And, it's not going to work to say "look what they said about Senator Clinton"

Because, you're winning now, right? So, the onus is on you?

Because I have not done that. I came over here, because it was boring and stupid at DKOS, and I have never said crap about Senator Clinton, only that she ran a bad campaign and surrounded herself with idiots like Mark Penn?

So, ask yourself this? Can you win without me?

Cause, there are MILLIONS of us out there, and if you carry Hillary to victory, SOMEONE will have to heal the breach?

So, tomorrow, when you wake up, and you tell yourself, you are winning, you have also got another duty to think about.

Beating John McCain.  

And, unless you are crazy, you can't do it without a lot of people just like me.



Display:


Let it go. (2.00 / 2)

This is the same thing I tell those folks from the other side who are forever braying that they will never vote for Obama.

those who determine their choice of candidate in a general election on trivialities like what some idiot wrote on a blog or what was said in the heat of a campaign are fools.

And those saying they'd vote for McCain or abstain from voting instead of voting for the Dem in the general are, in the words of Hillary Clinton today, "foolish."


by Bob Johnson on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:14:14 AM EST

Re: Let it go. (none / 0)

Hi Bob,

Yeah, I agree; I should let it go.

But what I think tonight, we didn't just ramp this down, we escalated it up-probably way up?

Because, in the Clinton camp, Penn, and Wolfson are saying: We went negative and it worked?

And, what is Axelrod saying to Obama?

We just keep taking this, or we load up the arsenal and unload as well?

A brokered convention?  

I know that some folks here think that is a great idea, but it is political suicide?

Funny thing is, my post is mostly BS, I would HAVE to vote for Clinton, because suprisingly, she puts my state, WA in play,
and I can't stand the idea of McCain replacing Stevens and Ginsburg.

But, that clown that wrote that diary I quoted from?  

Does he have ANY CLUE what will happen if the black vote walks on Clinton?

Does she think she has enough poor white suburban folks she can fight him for to overcome that?


"Well the danger on the rocks is surely past... Still I remain tied to the mast"...Don Fagen, Poet and Piano Player
by WashStateBlue on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:43:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Let it go. (none / 0)

Hillary could if she chose run a credible conservative friendly campaign on economics and play to the right of McCain.

Because he is left and she is right for their respective parties she really can poach GOP votes if it appears the party left deserts her.

Obama can do this too but all his support in that direction is already on the radar.  Hillary has as yet unmeasured GOP crossover from women and economic or religions types.

Hillary is more Christian than McCain.
Bill has a better economic resume than McCain.

and most importantly going into a massive recession the Clinton brand has EXCELLENT economic credentials.


by DTaylor on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:52:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Let it go. (none / 0)

Wow, this is delusional, Um you do realize that the right of McCain gop, those are the ones who view Hillary as the the antichrist right? And you think she could poach them?! Man thats either stupid or crazy.


by Socraticsilence on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 03:01:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Eh. (2.00 / 0)

They're not "winning", they're behind by every conceivable measure. What Hillary managed today was to acquire a license to keep running until May 6th, when she'll get stomped in Indiana and North Carolina.

And the precise reason for that, or one of them, is the behavior you describe. They can't and won't change that.


"This election is not about ideology, it's about competence." -Michael Dukakis
by MBNYC on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:15:01 AM EST

Re: Eh. (none / 0)

A single digit win didn't change the math but I guess she'll go with it.


My candidate lost fair and square. So did yours. Get over it and let's kick McSame's ass!
by RLMcCauley on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:18:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

is this a "real" question or bitching?  if its real, i think you make a legitimate point.  and if its a real question i will answer.


"Me Fail English? That's Unpossible." Ralph Wiggum
by canadian gal on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:18:12 AM EST

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

Well, how about this, it's SEMI real, in that I probably WILL have to vote for Clinton, because she will put my usually blue state in play?

WA state is very funny that way, we are probably the prototype state Bill was saying didn't need a president, and, funny enough, the polls show Obama walloping McCain, but Hillary just barely beating him here.

But, if I am bitching, it's mostly bitching because IF you folks do win, you can't win the GE without lots of folks like me.

And, you can not win without the black vote, period?

So, YES, I was symbolically asking for answers, but also to say to the Clinton supporters, you MIGHT want to think about HOW how you will heal that breach?

If you burn down the house to win it, it's not going to be a great place to live in come fall.


"Well the danger on the rocks is surely past... Still I remain tied to the mast"...Don Fagen, Poet and Piano Player
by WashStateBlue on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:49:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

as i said - its a fair question - but when you use words like to burn down...  it seems a little well, hostile.  but you are correct - HRC needs your and BO's support.

in any case - what i would say to you is - look at her positions, are you comfortable with her on the issues?  since i have heard time and again that her and BO have similar positions, that seems like a good reason to vote for her.  then look at her, not the right-wing/BO talking points about who she is and what she has done in her life/career - do your own research - if she ultimately seems like someone you are comfortable with, then vote for her.

otherwise - by all means - if the above is meaningless to you - then don't.


"Me Fail English? That's Unpossible." Ralph Wiggum
by canadian gal on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:57:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

They are closer to each other than either one is to McCai, but that isn't saying much.  Hillary's problem (beyond her crappy, glass jaw inevitability campaign, lack of grassroots orgainzation and subpar fundraising) is first and foremost that she voted for the war in Iraq (when others who had the same access to same intelligence didn't).  Now, fo course, she wants to nuke Iran, but we can skip that for a minute.

Think about it.  In order to position herself as an electable centrist (and not some liberal peacenik) she caved and gave Bush the authority to embark upon the greatest foreign policy disaster in this nation's history.  As it happens, that actually pisses off a lot people in the party.  Her refusal to admit the mistake just pours salt into the wound.  She voted for cloture on the Bankruptcy Bill thereby helping to enact a truly horrible piece of legislation.  She claims to have been anti-NAFTA from the start, but there is no evidence of that anywhere in the public record.

So let's get off the line that they're the same and that he should just wait his turn or some such bull.  

She's had every advantage in this race from name recognition, to connections within the party to having the benefit of running with Bill for the position twice before.  She still can't manage to take the neophyte from Chicago down and in fact is losing by every measure.  Congrats on PA.  Had she not gotten the support of the Governor and the two mayors, I wonder what the margin would have looked like.  The fact that she is nearly broke and can't manage a national campaign with all of those advanatages should give you real pause.


by Daddy Warbucks on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 02:16:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

i disagree.  

yes she made a real error not going after caucus states.  and the iraq war....  hhmmm - i am against it, keep in mind my country didnt not join.  BUT - who are you kidding?  BO was not even in the senate at the time.

she is a senator from NY for goodness sake.  do you think there was any way she could not have voted for authorization to use force?  politically i mean?  in her speech on the floor she called for restraint, etc.  that being said - yes, she is running as a centrist which is the only way a democrat has a chance in the fall (ironically though, he positions domestically are much more to the left of BO).


"Me Fail English? That's Unpossible." Ralph Wiggum
by canadian gal on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 10:42:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (2.00 / 1)

hmmm
well put..however,; by morning this will be gone..replaced by the same repetitive diaries that
find there way to the top of the rec list.
"If you want to end war and stuff, you gotta sing loud"...Arlo Guthrie
by nogo war on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:18:34 AM EST

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

I gave up on Senator Clinton when her campaign put out that Bin Laden ad. Now, of course never say never, but you cannot possibly put out an ad like that and expect everything to be honky dory with people like me who have been sick to their stomach of these scare tactics


_____________
PUMA: Perverse Undemocratic McCain Adherents
by lizardbox on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:22:32 AM EST

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

A very good friend, a seminarian, told me tonight he would riot if Supers gave Clinton the nomination.  I think universities would be a scary place to be if Obama is not nominated.  Any path for Clinton to get the nomination is not pretty.


Bring Back MyDD - Just say No to Rec'ing Candidate Diaries.
by CardBoard on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:22:56 AM EST

Are you suggesting (none / 0)

that students will riot if Sen Obama is not the nominee  ?


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:30:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are you suggesting (2.00 / 1)

yes, but not as a scare tactic... I don't want to threaten folks.  I won't be rioting.  But, I was mobbed by African Americans as I walked down the street yesterday with simple pamphlets - people who were surely voting for Obama and just wanted something tangible to mark the moment by.  I think a lot of AA's would be crushed and angry.  

But, can you imagine what happens across the country if in Denver on the second ballot Pelosi stands up an announces Pledged Delegates Obama-1900 Clinton-1800 Super Delegates Obama-300 Clinton-405.  It would be a terrible moment for our party.  You saw the reaction to ABC after the debate.  Imagine that times 100. I mean we get riots after every super-bowl.  


Bring Back MyDD - Just say No to Rec'ing Candidate Diaries.
by CardBoard on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:42:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are you suggesting (none / 0)

Suggestions that students will riot... is a scare tactic


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:21:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

You are absolutely right (none / 0)

And not only universities. It is interesting that the Clinton side keeps talking about white blue-collar voters but they never consider the flip side. How on the earth do they think they will win the GE? I am not planning my summer vacation till this is over. I might spend it in Denver and I am not 18. I am 39.


by hania on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:31:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Sounds like blackmail to me. (none / 0)

Give us the prize or we riot.

I'm against anyone who pushes that crap.


Waiting for the Glorious Train Wreck.
by Rooktoven on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:53:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Sounds like blackmail to me. (none / 0)

Everytime I say that people suggest I'm calling for riots... I'm not... I think, however, I'm being realistic about what will happen if you imagine what a Convention fight looks like.


Bring Back MyDD - Just say No to Rec'ing Candidate Diaries.
by CardBoard on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:55:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (1.00 / 1)

Ayres is a terrorist and Wright is a bigot - those are facts. If facts are going to offend you, then you're going to have trouble supporting the Democratic nominee whoever it is.

Oh, one thing you should keep in mind about Sharpton (who I love) is that Republicans financed and ran his campaign in 2004. If Dems have problems with him, that's certainly part of the reason.


by Little Otter on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:29:20 AM EST

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

The Weather Underground thought of themselves as terrorists - that's a fact of history. I'm not sure why you're complaining about that. Now, the Weather Underground was responding to particular circumstances so I don't have problems with Ayres other than his apparenent narcissism.

The point for Obama though is that conscientious Democrats distance themselves from people like that publicly so as not to give the GOP an issue of substance. The GOP will always find things to run against, but, hopefully, we can put them in the position of having to make stuff up (SBVT) or rely on debunked assertions (Whitewater in 1992).

I don't know how Clinton will win you over but I suspect it's very simple - if she wins, you're going to take a look at her platform and realize that it's a very good progressive platform and that unlike Obama, she has a history of getting things done.


by Little Otter on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:38:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

Will you do the same thing?

Will you vote for Obama if he wins the Nom, if you read his postions and vote for him?

I suspect not, based on your posts here...

And, that will be a problem for Obama JUST as it will be for Hillary.


"Well the danger on the rocks is surely past... Still I remain tied to the mast"...Don Fagen, Poet and Piano Player
by WashStateBlue on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:59:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

Real progressives don't vote for stupid wars.  Real progressives don't for cloture on draconian legislation like the Bankruptcy Bill.

As for getting things done, other than her failed health care plan and helping the party lose seats in Congress between 1994 and 2000, whatever are you talking about?


by Daddy Warbucks on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 02:20:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

Clinton opposed the bankruptcy bill and OPPOSED cloture when the progressives were filibustering. Think about it - why would conservatives filibuster that bill?

As for getting stuff done, it goes all the way back to college. She did that internship at Yale Children's Hospital, wrote that paper that's still among the most cited on the issue, joined the Watergate panel, when to texas and worked on McGovern's campaign, became staff attorney for the Children's Defense Fund, joined the Board of the Children's Defense Fund, became a public defender, got a appointed to the Board of Legal Services, appointed to chair Legal Services, not only prevented it's budget being cut by Reagan but managed to expand it's budget by several million, rounded up federeal funding to build medical facilities in rural Arkansas to serve poor people, took on the teacher's unions to win teacher standards testing in Arkansas, created a homeschooling program for people who didn't have access to Head Start, developed the healthcare program while Bill was in office, helped create Family and Medical Leave Act, helped create SCHIP - and that's all by 1995 or so. Yes, she's done a lot. And her priorities have remained very consistent over the years.

if you don't know these things, then you haven't made your desicison on who to support on informed grounds.

She voted against CAFTA. She's an original cosponsor of the Employees Free Choice Act, she's to the left of Feingold on judicial apppointments, she walks picket lines, she's flawless on choice issues. I mean really, if you think she supported that Bankruptcy bill, then you aren't paying attention.


by Little Otter on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 02:41:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]

You tell me (2.00 / 2)

What is important to you? I get that you don't want to be insulted, no one does, but while there is a primary the candidates will be attacking each-other.  

I find the Lincoln bedroom, D-Punjab, cattle futures, Bill straying attacks petty and insulting, but not enough to turn me off of Obama. What turned me off of Obama was the Bradley effect/Bill and Hillary Clinton are using race to hurt me charges. I'm not a racist, most Democrats are not racists, and I take the implication personally. Not enough to vote for a Republican, but Obama's tactics are a tough bar to get over.

But my feelings are not the point. Obama's problem with Clinton voters is that his policy approach alienates working class people. He would have to move away from his centrist, free market oriented policies and embrace active government efforts to address the income gap and health care if he wanted to win the Democratic base.

There are probably things Hillary Clinton could do that would address your feelings. But the real question is what positions would she have to embrace to win the vote of people like you. My bet is that they have something to do with the war in Iraq.


by souvarine on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:32:25 AM EST

I am not following (none / 0)

Now Hillary Clinton is to the left of Obama? The most liberal Senator? The guy that is for the highest tax increases?

Free-market oriented politics? This is mind boggling.

It is rather interesting you keep raising the issue of health care. Clinton's plan is at best an academic exercise. There is now way this will pass in the Senate. Obama plan might not pass either but it has a better chance.

You bet, we progressives do not like her hawkish foreign policy. She wants to police the entire Middle East and then she does not like it when she is called Bush-lite?


by hania on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:44:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I am not following (none / 0)

If you want to understand why Obama has trouble with working class Democrats you should probably take the time to understand what about his positions turns them off. The economic policies the president implements have an immediate effect on them, and they don't have much cushion to absorb "market forces", so they tend to have a pretty keen appreciation for how each candidate's policy proposals will effect them. They don't see Clinton's universal coverage proposal as "academic", they see it as "coverage for me and my family." They see Clinton's plans for government intervention in the mortgage crisis as "saving my house."

From Obama they get his "I know whats good for you, we need to clean up the corruption and give the market room to work this out" and they don't buy it.


by souvarine on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:58:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I am not following (none / 0)

If that were the case the Democrats would be winning election after election in a landslide.

You are going to call me an elitist, but this is the truth. Obama was right. They do not vote according to their economic interests. Unfortunately, they vote on other issues. That's why Clinton started talking guns and having shots in bars.

This is the great paradox. Few people actually vote their economic interests. I know I do not as I will be hurt by tax increases. But, I have other priorities.

BTW, Obama also has a plan for a fund to help people with disclosure.


by hania on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 02:12:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

The question is silly (2.00 / 2)

Why do Obama and Clinton supporters only get to hold the Democratic party hostage by withholding their vote if their preferred candidate does not win?

I was an Edwards supporter.  I would hold my nose and vote for either Clinton or Obama.

Why are Obama and Clinton supporters so willing to take their vote and either stay home, or worse, vote for McCain?

I don't hear Edwards voters doing that.  Or Biden, or Richardson, or Dodd, etc, etc.


by reggie44pride on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:38:10 AM EST

Brought on themselves. (none / 0)

Shows neither camp deserves it.


Waiting for the Glorious Train Wreck.
by Rooktoven on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:55:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Brought on themselves. (none / 0)

Kind of agree with you.

The "I hate the other candidate and side" mentality of 90% of the people here is sickening.  I see two good, but flawed candidates who are 100000000x better than McCain.

I'd certainly prefer Edwards to either Obama or Clinton, but I am not withholding my vote just because my feelings are hurt he didn't win.

Bunch of reprobate children out in the blogosphere.


by reggie44pride on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 02:08:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (2.00 / 2)

Here is what I would say to the Obama supporters.

It should be Hillary/Obama because

1)  We don't hate Obama.  Most Hillary supporters have a favorable idea of Obama.  That means we are not out to destroy Obama for the sake of destroying him.  I am less convinced the reverse is true.  

2)  The Hillary machine is known for being loyal.  If Obama draws the short straw and manages to get his voters to vote hillary we will remember.  Remembering means that next time around (after Hillary)  Obama becomes our new Hillary and we fight just as hard for him.  Not Edwards, not Gore, Obama would be our candidate, thats what we can trade.  Remembering means Obama comes too as VP.

3)  An Obama loss in the primary is likely a delay of 4 or 8 years and not a refuting of Obama the candidate IF he supports and his supporters support.  There never would have been an issue if they were both clearly going to support if they lost in the first place.

4)  If Obama runs and loses in the general for whatever reason his career is likely over.  He is an inspiration candidate with little solid foundation to base his claim on.  Four or eight years VP and distance form Rezko, Ayers, Wright, Democracygate, supportergate will benifit him IF he does so in a winning or sacrificing manner so that there is no stigma and no need for us to hold a grudge.

5)  He really can't win.  At this point Hillary won't get the nomination unless Obama really can't seal the deal.  But so far Obama can't.  And demographically there are a lot more women who haven't voted for Hillary than there are Blacks or liberals who haven't voted for Obama.  This and the fact that the states that will decide the election happen to favor Hillary genuinely hurts Obama's chances to win.  

6)  More of us won't vote for you than those of you who won't vote for us.  We didn't start this conditional support talk but we sure will finish it.  It may not seem fair at this stage of the game but some Obama supporters really poisoned the well for Obama with threats to not vote for Hillary if she won.  Its not personal its business and we won't vote for Obama.

7)  Politics really is a dirty game but forgiveness is key.  Many of the claims you guys make about Hillary are true, many of the claims we make about Obama are true.  We will forgive next time if you forgive this time, if you don't we won't ever forgive because this is Hillary's last best chance and it will always be on Obamas resume if he kills her career.  If we Hillary supporters go Edwards or Gore next cycle Obama will be frozen out yet again.

8)  Hillary really does win if you count all the votes.  The popular vote is a traditional metric in a primary and Hillary looks solid to finish with more total votes than Obama.

9)  Clinton/Obama is the only way to have both.  8 years from now Hillary won't be a credible candidate and Obama will.

10) we perceive you as having cheated.  Florida, Michigan and no revotes, Saying you won't support, Trying to force her out when you knew she was VERY strong, Trying to claim that if she fought for her chance it was ripping the party apart.  We perceive fairly or unfairly that this is power politics and that Hillary would not have used these tactics if the shoe were on the other foot.

11)  We have options and many of you don't.  John McCain isn't a scarey boogie man to us.  In fact if there is a rift in the democratic party the right 20% of us could just join the GOP and pull their center to the left enough that we could tolerate the candidates and the GOP would KILL every democratic candidate for decades.  This is an unlikely but real possibility and things like this have happened in the past.  So if there is a split in the party it will be my side that has their power GO UP and your side likely have their power GO DOWN.  Remember fair or not the center has options.

12)  Obama can bring his voters for a VP ticket more so that Hillary can bring hers for a VP ticket.  This is related to Obama losing in the primary is not losing its waiting.  You really can get Obama if he loses gracefully EVEN IF YOU FEEL ITS STOLEN.  Politics is about doing what gets the best outcome even if that isn't what feels best, if Obama loses the best outcome if you support him is for him to be on the ticket and all smiles.  If you support Obama and want him to one day be President thats your best path if he loses.  Again EVEN IF YOU FEEL ITS UNFAIR.


by DTaylor on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:44:06 AM EST

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

"Most Hillary supporters have a favorable idea of Obama."

Boy, that is NOT what I see, here, and at Taylor Marsh and No Quarter.

And, even you DTaylor, I can't remember you saying a lot of nice things about Obama....


"Well the danger on the rocks is surely past... Still I remain tied to the mast"...Don Fagen, Poet and Piano Player
by WashStateBlue on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 02:03:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

There is no upside to Obama taking the VP spot for us or for him.  Sorry.  He will be tarred with a river of shit after sitting on the back of the bus for 4 or 8 years of a second Clinton administration.  You see, being No. 2 to a Clinton is a thankless job.  Just ask Al Gore.  Loyalty is a one-way street with the Clintons.

If you are really considering voting for McCain you not the Democrat you purport to be or you are simply a tool.  If you think McCain is such a formidable opponent, you haven't watched him in action.  The argument that Obama wouldn't carry states like NJ, MA, NY or CA in the egenral is laughable.  Hillary currently has problems with McCain in purple states like WI and MN--why aren't you concerned about that?  Obama did not win OH or PA in the primaries, but that doesn't mean that the states go to McCain by default.  

Spare me the talk of MI & FL.  Your own man (Ickes) on the DNC voted for the sanctions when he thought Hillary was inevitable.  There is a colorable argument that FL should count, but that is a DNC issue.  There is no colorable argument that MI should count in any way.  Besides, MI law is what held up a revote there, not Obama.  Bottom line is that she has run a terrible campaign despite having every advantage imaginable.  That says a lot about her abilities.

The popular vote is not how we chose a nominee.  If it were, no state would ever in its right mind hold a caucus.  Having said that, when all is said and done on June 3, she will still be behind by that measure as well.

Look at your arguments and you will see that they parrot the Mark Penn inevitability strategy.  In other words, she should get the nod because she is somehow entitled to it.  That plan hasn't really served Hillary very well so far.  


by Daddy Warbucks on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 02:42:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

Which ever candidate prevails it will need to be seen as legitimate by the other candidates supporters. If Barack prevails in elected delegates but superdelegates give it to Clinton anyway there will be a revolt. Conversely if Clinton supporters believe that superdelegates are ganging up to push Hillary out they will revolt.

The fact of the matter is that neither candidate can knock the other out. Given the passion female voters rightly feel towards Hillary's candidacy and given the fact that female voters make up the majority of the Democratic electorate there is nothing Barack can say or do that will knock her out of the race. Given the strength Barack has with african american voters, more activist voters, new voters, and party crossovers there is nothing Hillary can say or do to knock him out.

My one fear is the nature of the Clinton campaign right now. Not the negativity but the fact that she goes around telling her supporters that Barack can't win. We are seeing the damage this is doing in the polls with the large portions of her voters that say they won't support Barack if he wins. The fact is that Hillary is no more qualified from an electability standpoint to be the nominee then he is but he has, rightly, refused to use this argument against her.

In the end only two things will end this process, either it goes another 6 weeks until the last contest or the Clinton campaign runs out of cash which it is close to doing. It depends on how much debt the Clintons are willing to rack up. They are at about 16 million as of the end of March.


Proudly joining the legions of people and states that don't matter on May 20th.
by Obama Independent on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:44:31 AM EST

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

"The fact is that Hillary is no more qualified from an electability standpoint to be the nominee then he is but he has, rightly, refused to use this argument against her."

But, for how much longer?

As the front runner, he has had to play nice (in spite of what the Clinton supporters think) but if she is, as you say, hurting him the GE, then he as a devil of a choice?

Amp up against her, and drive her supporters even further away, or stay above it, and let her keep chewing away at him.

He's in a tough spot, but, I guess this is not for the feint hearted.


"Well the danger on the rocks is surely past... Still I remain tied to the mast"...Don Fagen, Poet and Piano Player
by WashStateBlue on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 02:08:08 AM EST

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

I hope he doesn't go there personally. It would just damage his own primary reason for his campaign. The Clinton brand of politics is say or do whatever it takes to win or whatever has the best political advantage at the time and deal with any fallout later. This is why political discourse in this country is where it's at and why we see the gridlock we have in Washington. He's keeping his negative attacks on the issues where it should be.


Proudly joining the legions of people and states that don't matter on May 20th.
by Obama Independent on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 02:58:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

Obama is responsible for his own loss in PA and it was not negative campaigning.  His own big mouth in San Francisco did all the work.

One more thought, although the DNC said the Florida and Michigan delegates wouldn't count they never said that about the popular vote.  I don't doubt that the Super Delegates are including the popular vote totals in Florida and Michigan in their calculations.  Hillary is going to end up with a lead in the popular vote and Obama will end up with a 50 to 75 delegate lead.  It's going to be a Hillary/Obama ticket and the Democratic Party can put a lock on the White House for the next sixteen years.  Obama has plenty of time.  


by orionwest on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 08:02:03 AM EST

Re: Not to rain on anyones parade.... (none / 0)

A UNITY TICKET IS THE ANSWER.

HILLARY GOES FIRST, BARACK GOES 2ND.

SHE'S OLDER AND HAS THE EXPERIENCE.


by nikkid on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 12:08:07 PM EST


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